Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Textbooks Why are meetings so often

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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Textbooks Why are meetings so oftenEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real